ETF Explorer/Bonds & Fixed Income/TBF
Aligned with current regime · Inflationary Boom

TBF

NYSE

ProShares Short 20+ Year Treasury

Issued by ProShares · Bonds & Fixed Income

$24.80

0.57% today

Today

+0.57%

3 Month

+4.42%

YTD

+3.08%

1 Year

+1.93%

Price Chart

251 trading days · Use "Compare" tab to overlay other ETFs + regimes

Price History

Compare — add ETFs, toggle regime overlay

Base 100 = start of period
TBF

Technical Analysis

Technical Signals

Daily closes · 1-year data

ETF Structural Score

ETF Score evaluates fund wrapper quality, historical performance, and macro regime fit. Not financial advice.

Key Statistics

AUM

Expense Ratio

0.95%

Trailing Yield

Equity

Fixed Income

Issuer

ProShares

vs S&P 500 (SPY) — 1 Year

Beta

-0.14

TBF moves 114% less than the S&P 500. Lower market sensitivity — more defensive.

Correlation to SPY

-0.18

Low correlation — moves more independently. Adding this alongside SPY reduces portfolio volatility.

Annualised Volatility

9.5%

Standard deviation of daily returns annualised. S&P 500 long-run avg ≈ 15%. At 10%, TBF is more stable than the broad market — typical of bond/defensive ETFs.

Relative Performance — TBF vs SPY (base 100)

Base: 100 (day 1)
TBF: 101.9
SPY: 124.7
Alpha: -22.75 (underperformed)

About TBF

−1× inverse long-term Treasuries. Profits when TLT falls (rates rise).

Macro Regime Alignment

Historical analysis of which macro regimes have favoured TBF. Based on the regime's characteristic interest rate environment, growth conditions, and sector rotation patterns.

Rate Hike Cycle

Fed Funds ↑↑ · Tightening

The Fed is raising rates aggressively. Duration gets crushed. Leveraged assets and growth stocks suffer most. Short-term bonds and cash finally earn yield.

Inflationary Boom

Growth ↑ · Inflation ↑

Active now

The economy is growing but prices are running hot. Real assets and commodities shine. Growth stocks suffer as discount rates rise. The Fed is typically tightening.

Stagflation

Growth ↓ · Inflation ↑

The most damaging regime: slowing growth while prices keep rising. The Fed faces a cruel dilemma. Gold and short bonds are the few safe havens.

Disclaimer: All data sourced from Yahoo Finance and is for informational purposes only. Holdings, sector weights, and AUM update daily but may lag official fund disclosures. Performance figures are price-based and do not include dividends. Regime alignment reflects historical observations and does not guarantee future returns. Nothing on this page constitutes investment advice. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

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